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Week ahead in FX — #SaxoStrats

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Saxo Bank’s head of FX strategy John Hardy outlines the key events we can expect in forex next week.

Main focus points: 
  • Global bond yield surges higher resulting in a stronger dollar and a weaker yen. Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy goes against yen's favour.
  • US data key as we look towards a potential rate hike. 
  • It is hard to judge if the market is willing to commit capital to trades ahead of US presidential election. 
  • Commodity dollars and EM currencies could be weakest against US dollar. 
  • Bank of England meeting is the most anticipated. Rate cut may be off the table because of recent inflation data.