Daily Morning Call

From the Floor: Macron victory sparks mighty relief rally— #SaxoStrats

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A first-round victory in Sunday's French presidential election for the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron has triggered a sharp and broad relief rally across financial markets, with equity prices jumping and safe-haven gold and bonds sold off.
Macron is tipped to handily defeat the far-right, anti-establishment contestant Marine Le Pen in the second-round ballot on May 7.
  • Centrist Macron's first-round election victory in France sparks broad relief rally
  • Macron will win second round; June parliamentary elections bigger risk: Dembik
  • Polls for May 7 second round: 62.9% for Macron versus 37.1% for Le Pen
  • Strong positive reaction in European equities, French stocks seen sharply higher
  • European value stocks, bank stocks seen rising as Le Pen gets priced out: Garnry
  • Sharp reaction also in fixed-income markets, with bond prices off, yields up
  • France-Germany spread narrows to 50 basis points
  • EUR crosses up, 1.0840-50 the important area for EURUSD: Hardy
  • Gold left exposed as French election tensions ease: Hansen
  • Sentiment towards oil still fragile despite softer USD and risk-on bounce: Hansen